Table 2. Example of the probability format. This table reports Bayesian posterior probabilities for the parameters (alpha and beta) of the function relating recruitment to dry-season rainfall, for a population of Serengeti wildebeest (as presented in Pascual and Hilborn 1995: 475).

alpha

Low slope: probability = 0.11
Medium slope: probability = 0.80
High slope: probability = 0.09
beta
0.0
0.002
0.004
0.006
0.008
0.010
0.012
0.014
0.016
0.018
0.020
0.040
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.055
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.00004
0.00026
0.070
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.00027
0.00324
0.00003
0.085
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.00097
0.01894
0.00014
0.0
0.100
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.00187
0.06498
0.00030
0.0
0.0
0.115
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.00169
0.18398
0.00037
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.130
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.00057
0.33649
0.00045
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.145
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.00006
0.27651
0.00027
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.160
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.09275
0.00006
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.175
0.0
0.0
0.01433
0.00001
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.190
0.0
0.00135
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.00.
0.0
0.0
0.205
0.00008
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.220
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0